A Euro sign sculpture stands in front of the
European Central Bank’s (ECB) headquarters.
) Moody’s Investors Service has changed its outlook on the Aaa rating of the European Union to “negative,” warning it might downgrade the bloc if it decides to cut the ratings on the EU’s four biggest budget backers: Germany, France, the U.K., and the Netherlands.
The move will add to pressure on the European Central Bank (learn more)
to provide details of a new debt-buying scheme to help deeply indebted euro zone states at its policy meeting on Thursday.
Back in July, Moody’s changed its outlook for Germany, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg to “negative” as fallout from Europe’s debt crisis cast a shadow over its top-rated countries. The outlook on France and the U.K. are also “negative.”
“The negative outlook on the EU’s long-term ratings reflects the negative outlook on the Aaa ratings of the member states with large contributions to the EU budget: Germany, France, the U.K., and the Netherlands, which together account for around 45 percent of the EU’s budget revenue,” the ratings agency said.
Moody’s said the EU’s rating would be particularly sensitive to any changes in the ratings of these four Aaa member states, implying that if it downgraded these four it might also cut the EU’s rating.
Likewise, Moody’s said the outlook for the EU could go back to stable if the outlooks on the four key Aaa countries also returned to stable.
The agency also changed to negative the outlook the European Atomic Energy Community, on whose behalf the European Commission is also empowered to borrow.
@capflowwatch: Moody’s Changes Euro Zone Rating Outlook to ‘Negative’ // The path Obama wants us to follow.